An Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on Quadratic Decomposition and Multi-Objective Optimization

Hayou Chen; Zhenglong Zhang; Shaokai Tong; Peiyuan Chen; Zhiguo Wang; Hai Huang

doi:10.4108/ew.5787

Authors

Hayou Chen Xi'an Shiyou University
Zhenglong Zhang Xi'an Shiyou University
Shaokai Tong CNPC Chuanqing Drilling Engineering Co. Ltd
Peiyuan Chen Xi'an Shiyou University
Zhiguo Wang Xi'an Shiyou University
Hai Huang Xi'an Shiyou University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4108/ew.5787

Keywords:

wind power prediction, quadratic decomposition, multi-objective optimization, deep bidirectional long short-term memory, sand cat swarm optimization algorithm

Abstract

To augment the accuracy, stability, and qualification rate of wind power prediction, thereby fostering the secure and economical operation of wind farms, a method predicated on quadratic decomposition and multi-objective optimization for ultra-short-term wind power prediction is proposed. Initially, the original wind power signal is decomposed using a quadratic decomposition method constituted by the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN), Fuzzy Entropy (FE), and Symplectic Geometry Mode Decomposition (SGMD), thereby mitigating the randomness and volatility of the original signal. Subsequently, the decomposed signal components are introduced into the Deep Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (DBiLSTM) neural network for time series modeling, and the Sand Cat Swarm Optimization Algorithm (SCSO) is employed to optimize the network hyperparameters, thereby enhancing the network’s predictive performance. Ultimately, a multi-objective optimization loss that accommodates accuracy, stability, and grid compliance is proposed to guide network training. Experimental results reveal that the employed quadratic decomposition method and the proposed multi-objective optimization loss can effectively bolster the model’s predictive performance. Compared to other classical methods, the proposed method achieves optimal results across different seasons, thereby demonstrating robust practicality.

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