Research on Credit Risk Prediction Method of Blockchain Applied to Supply Chain Finance

Authors

  • Yue Liu Wenzhou Polytechnic image/svg+xml
  • Wangke Lin Zhejiang College of Security Technology

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4108/eetsis.5300

Keywords:

blockchain technology, supply chain finance credit risk prediction, jellyfish search optimisation algorithm, deep echo state network

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: From the perspective of blockchain, it establishes a credit risk evaluation index system for supply chain finance applicable to blockchain, constructs an accurate credit risk prediction model, and provides a reliable guarantee for the research of credit risk in supply chain finance.

OBJECTIVES: To address the inefficiency of the current credit risk prediction and evaluation model for supply chain finance.

METHODS: This paper proposes a combined blockchain supply chain financial credit risk prediction and evaluation method based on kernel principal component analysis and intelligent optimisation algorithm to improve Deep Echo State Network. Firstly, the evaluation system is constructed by describing the supply chain financial credit risk prediction and evaluation problem based on blockchain technology, analysing the evaluation indexes, and constructing the evaluation system; then, the parameters of DeepESN network are optimized by combining the kernel principal component analysis method with the JSO algorithm to construct the credit risk prediction and evaluation model of supply chain finance; finally, the effectiveness, robustness, and real-time performance of the proposed method are verified by simulation experiment analysis.

RESULTS: The results show that the proposed method improves the prediction efficiency of the prediction model.

CONCLUSION: The problems of insufficient scientific construction of index system and poor efficiency of risk prediction model of B2B E-commerce transaction size prediction method are effectively solved.

References

Zhang W , Lim M K , Yang M , Li X, Ni D. Using deep learning to interpolate the missing data in time-series for credit risks along supply chain[J]. Industrial Management & Data Systems, 2023, 123(5):1401-1417.

Kang K , Lu T , Zhang J .Financing strategy selection and coordination considering risk aversion in a capital constrained supply chain[J]. industrial and management optimisation, 2022(3):18.

Colon C , Hochrainer-Stigler S .Systemic risks in supply chains: a need for system-level governance[J].Supply Chain Management: an International Journal, 2023, 28(4):682-694.

Wei X , Dou X .Application of sustainable supply chain finance in end-of-life electric vehicle battery management: a?literature review[J]. Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal, 2023, 34(2):368-385.

Jiang R , Kang Y , Liu Y , Liang Z, Duan Y, Sun Y. A trust transitivity model of small and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises under blockchain-based supply chain finance[J].International Journal of Production Economics, 2022, 247.

Yuan L , Zhong Y , Lu Z . Foreign strategic investors and bank credit risk in China: Disclosure, finance or management effects?[J]. Finance Journal, 2022, 73.

Xiong Z , Huang J .Prediction of credit risk with an ensemble model: a correlation-based classifier selection approach[J].Journal of modelling in management, 2022.

Rajaguru R , Matanda M J , Zhang W .Supply chain finance in enhancing supply-oriented and demand-oriented performance capabilities - moderating the role of perceived partner opportunism[J].Journal of business & industrial marketing, 2022.

Nguema J N B B , Bi G , Akenroye T O , Ei Baz J. The effects of supply chain finance on organisational performance: a moderated and mediated model[J].Supply Chain Management, 2022(1):27.

Yang F , Bi C .The supply chain effect of monitoring cost[J].International Transactions in Operational Research, 2022, 29(4):2523-2565.

Tong S , Zhang T , Zhang Z .Credit Risk Early Warning of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Based on Blockchain Trusted Data[J]. information & knowledge management, 2022(2):21.

Wang D N , Li L , Zhao D .Corporate finance risk prediction based on LightGBM[J].Information Sciences: an International Journal, 2022:602.

Ozkan-Ozen Y D , Sezer D , Ozbiltekin-Pala M , Kazancoglu Y. Risks of data-driven technologies in sustainable supply chain management[J]. Management of Environmental Quality, 2023(4):34.

Park M , Singh N P .Predicting supply chain risks through big data analytics: role of risk alert tool in mitigating business disruption[J]. Benchmarking: an International Journal, 2023, 30(5):1457-1484.

Alldredge D M , Chen Y , Liu S , Luo L. The effect of credit rating downgrades along the supply chain[J].Review of Accounting and Finance, 2022, 21(1):1- 31.

Liu Z , Li M , Zhai X .Managing supply chain disruption threat via a strategy combining pricing and self-protection[J]. Production Economics, 2022, 247.

Deshpande S , Hudnurkar M , Rathod U .An exploratory study into manufacturing supply chain vulnerability and its drivers[J].Benchmarking: an International Journal, 2023, 30(1):23-49.

Wuyong Q , Haonan Z .Research on Supply Chain Financial Credit Risk Evaluation Based on AdaBoost-DPSO-SVM Model[J].Industrial Technology & Economy, 2022, 41(3):72-79.

Fang L , Gao Y .Online Finance in a Dual-Channel Supply Chain with a Capital-Constrained Manufacturer[J].Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research, 2023, 40(02).

Al-Shboul M A , Alsmairat M A K .Enabling supply chain efficacy through SC risk mitigation and absorptive capacity: an empirical investigation in manufacturing firms in the Middle East region - a moderated-mediated model[J].Supply Chain Management: an International Journal, 2023,. 28(5):909-922.

Ma J , Ogunsolu M , Qiu J , Detemple J. Credit risk pricing in a consumption-based equilibrium framework with incomplete accounting information[J].Mathematical Finance, 2023, 33(3):666-708.

Zhang W , Yan S , Li J , Tian X, Yoshida T. Credit risk prediction of SMEs in supply chain finance by fusing demographic and behavioural data[J]. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2022, 158.

Ni D , Lim M K , Li X , Qu Y, Yang M. Monitoring corporate credit risk with multiple data sources[J].Industrial Management & Data Systems, 2023, 123( 2):434-450.

Pham H T , Testorelli R , Verbano C .The impact of operational risk on performance in supply chains and the moderating role of integration[J].Baltic Journal of Management, 2023, 18(2):207-225.

Guo L , Chen J , Li S , Li Y, Lu J. A blockchain and IoT-based lightweight framework for enabling information transparency in supply chain finance[J]. Digital Communications and Networking:English Edition, 2022, 8(4):12.

H.H. Gao,H.H. Yang,X.Y. Wang. SVM network intrusion detection method based on PCA and KPCA feature extraction[J]. Journal of East China University of Science and Technology, 2006, 32(3):321-326.

HU Qinghui, SONG Jinling, HUANG Da, HU Jiacheng, ZHAI Xiaoang. Water quality prediction model based on SSA-MIC-SMBO-ESN[J]. Industrial Water and Wastewater, 2023, 54(2):45-51.

Farhat M , Kamel S , Atallah A M , Khan B. Optimal Power Flow Solution Based on Jellyfish Search Optimization Considering Uncertainty of Renewable Energy Sources[J].IEEE Access, 2021, 9:100911-100933.

Downloads

Published

19-03-2024

How to Cite

1.
Liu Y, Lin W. Research on Credit Risk Prediction Method of Blockchain Applied to Supply Chain Finance. EAI Endorsed Scal Inf Syst [Internet]. 2024 Mar. 19 [cited 2024 Dec. 27];11(6). Available from: https://publications.eai.eu/index.php/sis/article/view/5300