An Integrated Digital-Twin-Assisted Edge Collaboration and LSTM-GAT Model for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting in Industrial Parks
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.4108/eetsis.14155Keywords:
Industrial Internet of Things, Digital Twin, Edge Computing, Industrial Park Distribution, Short-Term Power Load Forecasting, Energy Management, LSTM-GATAbstract
INTRODUCTION: Manufacturing-oriented industrial parks are increasingly characterised by flexible production lines, energy-intensive equipment, and highly coupled production–energy processes. In such smart manufacturing environments, accurate short-term power load forecasting is essential for coordinating production scheduling, equipment operation, and low-carbon energy management. However, existing forecasting methods often overlook edge-side training efficiency and spatial correlations among multi-node power loads.
OBJECTIVES: This paper aims to develop an efficient and accurate short-term power load forecasting framework for Industrial Internet of Things-enabled industrial parks by integrating digital-twin-assisted edge collaborative training with temporal–spatial load modelling.
METHODS: An integrated digital-twin-assisted mobile edge computing–Industrial Internet of Things framework and an LSTM-GAT forecasting model, named L-Ga, are proposed. The digital twin layer mirrors the communication, computing, energy, and data-quality states of edge nodes to support node selection and collaborative model training. The L-Ga model combines long short-term memory networks and graph attention networks to capture temporal evolution and spatial coupling among park-level, feeder-level, utility-system, office-area, and key-equipment loads.
RESULTS: The digital-twin-assisted node-selection strategy reduced the weighted training cost by 21.63% compared with random node selection. The proposed L-Ga model achieved average mean absolute error, root mean square error, and mean absolute percentage error values of 2.29, 3.12, and 1.98%, respectively, outperforming the representative baseline models.
CONCLUSION: The proposed framework improves both edge-side collaborative training efficiency and short-term power load forecasting accuracy. It provides an effective solution for production–energy coordination, intelligent power distribution, and low-carbon energy management in Industrial Internet of Things-enabled manufacturing parks.
References
[1] Afrin S, Sabiha J R, Maliha K, et al. Industrial Internet of Things: Implementations, challenges, and potential solutions across various industries. Computers in Industry, 2025, 170: 104317.
[2] Dritsas E, Trigka M. A survey on the applications of cloud computing in the industrial internet of things. Big Data and Cognitive Computing, 2025, 9(2): 44.
[3] Timur O, Üstünel H Y. Short-term electric load forecasting for an industrial plant using machine learning-based algorithms. Energies, 2025, 18(5): 1144.
[4] Dakheel F, Çevik M. Optimizing smart grid load forecasting via a hybrid long short-term memory-XGBoost framework: Enhancing accuracy, robustness, and energy management. Energies, 2025, 18(11): 2842.
[5] Sulandari W, Yudho Y, Etik Z, et al. Hybrid Prophet-NAR model for short-term electricity load forecasting. IEEE Access, 2025, 13: 7637–7649.
[6] Sun C, Ning Y, Shen D, et al. Graph neural network-based short-term load forecasting with temporal convolution. Data Science and Engineering, 2024, 9: 113–132.
[7] Wei C, Pi D, Ping M, Zhang H. Short-term load forecasting using spatial-temporal embedding graph neural network. Electric Power Systems Research, 2023, 225: 109873.
[8] Wu J, Zuo R. Intelligent computation offloading based on digital twin-enabled 6G industrial IoT. Applied Sciences, 2024, 14(3): 1035.
[9] Aghazadeh Ardebili A, Zappatore M, Ramadan A I H A, Longo A, Ficarella A. Digital twins of smart energy systems: A systematic literature review on enablers, design, management and computational challenges. Energy Informatics, 2024, 7: 94.
[10] Keykele M P, Ravanshadnia M. Predicting residential CO2 emissions: Machine learning and deep learning approaches for short-term forecasting. International Journal of Sustainable Building Technology and Urban Development, 2025, 16(3): 373–387.
[11] Shah S A H, Ahmed U, Bilal M, et al. Improved electric load forecasting using quantile long short-term memory network with dual attention mechanism. Energy Reports, 2025, 13: 2343–2353.
[12] Billey A, Wuest T. Energy digital twins in smart manufacturing systems: A case study. Robotics and Computer-Integrated Manufacturing, 2024, 88: 102729.
[13] Kang Z. Physics-aware graph neural networks for real-time defect detection and environmental impact mitigation in industrial welding. Journal of Computing & Biomedical Informatics, 2026, 10(2).
[14] Kwon Y. Smart manufacturing innovation through the integration of digital twin and IoT energy management[J]. International Journal of Control, Automation and Systems, 2025, 23: 3427–3439. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12555-025-0046-1.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Li Ruilin, honghong Li, Yoke Seng Wong, Fengyang Long, Donghua Jiang, Jianhua Wu

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC BY-NC-SA 4.0, which permits copying, redistributing, remixing, transformation, and building upon the material in any medium so long as the original work is properly cited.